![Ex-Ambassador Mikayel Minasyan: “Will Armenia face a war or not?”](https://www.aysor.am/news_images/716/2146970_3/f64fa2362e8c90_64fa2362e8cd0.thumb.jpg)
07/09/2023 23:24
Ex-Ambassador Mikayel Minasyan: “Will Armenia face a war or not?”
Former Armenian Ambassador to the Holy See, Mikael Minasyan, delivered an insightful presentation addressing the external challenges confronting Armenia, his homeland.
The ambassador emphasizes that the paramount issue currently under discussion in Armenia is the possibility of an impending war.
"Will Armenia face a war or not? This query has risen to prominence in recent days. Has the conflict truly ceased? 'Sev Lich,' Ishkhanasar, Vardenis, Sotk, Jermuk, the Karabakh blockade, and the escalating humanitarian crisis—what else could this be if not war? Regrettably, the war has not abated, and today, Armenia teeters on the brink of yet another catastrophic chapter in its seemingly endless struggle. This assertion is substantiated by evidence from both official and unofficial sources, as well as official statements affirming the complete absence of diplomatic progress."
Minasyan observes that since 2018, the Armenian people, particularly its assertive and electorally dominant faction, has adhered to the narrative of "peace beyond our borders and perpetual conflict within our nation." Consequently, we find ourselves mired in perpetual warfare abroad and internal discord. It is imperative to discard the outdated, futile narrative and acknowledge that if a new phase of hostilities against Armenia ensues, with all signs pointing in that direction, it signifies the failure of international mechanisms. And, indeed, these mechanisms have proven ineffective.
"We must acknowledge that, despite its earnest endeavors, France lacks the capability to resolve regional issues. It is time to relinquish baseless optimism, long-standing infantilism, and the illusion that French support will miraculously materialize in the Armenian highlands. It must also be recognized that there exist two military entities capable of deterring our adversaries: the CSTO and NATO. Regrettably, hopes for NATO intervention are unfounded, and hysteria regarding the CSTO have persisted since 2018. Preventing the impending catastrophe is contingent on two stakeholders: the populace or the government, both of whom must confront reality," penned former Ambassador Mikayel Minasyan.
Minasyan underscores that Armenia stands at a critical juncture, faced with the choice of either sober reflection or a more extensive occupation. I implore for sobriety, fully cognizant of the slim odds.
"I issued this call prior to the 44-day war when euphoria reigned over the 'historic victory in the July skirmish.' I reiterated this plea in 2020. On November 9, even as 'victory' was declared in Armenia, I continued to voice this perspective following the 44-day conflict, and I reiterate it today. Armenia can no longer afford to indulge in infantile politics, unfounded optimism, or internal discord. What Armenia urgently requires is rational assessment, the judicious utilization of tangible opportunities, and a clear-headed awakening," he concluded.
In case you have found a mistake in the text, please send a message to the editor by selecting the mistake and pressing Ctrl-Enter.